Huawei's ten percent cut of every AITO broke the moment the cars stopped selling
The AITO handover finally has numbers attached
Seres took the wheel on 15 September. Huawei's Harmony Intelligent Mobility Alliance and AITO jointly announced that Seres — the Chongqing carmaker that was a near-dead minivan maker called Sokon in 2020 — would lead product definition, design, brand marketing, channel retail and service. Huawei drops to technical enablement. The alliance's four other brands are untouched.
The reason is a fee structure, not a falling-out. TMTPost's accounting puts Seres payments into Huawei entities at roughly 111.3bn yuan (~$15.7bn) across 2022–2025 — 29.29% of revenue over the same span — against cumulative non-GAAP net profit of about 1.48bn yuan (~$209m). The take is roughly 10% of each car: ~2% technology licensing plus ~8% channel and marketing to Huawei's device unit.
That cut is indexed to volume, not margin. Which was fine while volume climbed and lethal when it didn't. AITO sold 201,900 units January–August, down 14.07%; Seres' own monthly figures halved in July and August. Second-quarter revenue fell 26.6% to 31.7bn yuan (~$4.5bn) with a net loss of 2.47bn yuan (~$348m), and quarterly gross margin landed at 20.92%, down 8.6 points year on year.
Today's September tally confirms it. The whole HIMA alliance delivered 37,490 vehicles, down 29.15% year on year and 10.95% on August — the worst year-on-year line in a month when BYD shipped 463,561 and Leapmotor grew 58.51% to 105,656, per IT Home's compilation. Seres had 380 of its own user centres in 218 cities by end-2025. The channel de-merger completes 1 January.
WORTH NOTING: the Huawei storefront still converts. Yu Chengdong, Huawei's device-business chairman, said the Stelato V8 MPV took 8,200 orders in 72 hours at a presale from 329,800 yuan (~$46,500), via IT Home.
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Where the Chinese and English accounts of AITO split
The mainland business press writes this as a mechanism failure. TMTPost's frame is that a revenue-share built for a growth era became a profit sink in a downturn, and that one showroom cannot carry five brands competing for the same foot traffic and the same lidar launch slot.
The English coverage writes it as a handover of control. Caixin Global leads on Seres taking full control and gaining supplier freedom to cut costs, with the sharpest comparison being sales expenses at 14.7% of revenue against Li Auto's 8.9%. CnEVPost adds the physical detail: some alliance stores get transferred to Seres to sell AITO exclusively.
Both are right and neither is the full picture. Seres gets pricing freedom and inherits the channel cost Huawei was absorbing. Whether the saved service fee covers a national retail network it now owns is a 2027 question.
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Huawei's silicon got better and its bill of materials got worse
The Mate 90 launched the same day. The Pro Max runs a Kirin 9050 Pro "logic-folding" chip: multi-core up 23%, GPU rendering up 40%, NPU up 140%, transistor density 238m per square millimetre, 125TB/s internal bandwidth, and a 30bn-parameter mixture-of-experts model running on-device for offline photo editing, per Zhidx. Prices run 5,999 to 12,999 yuan (~$845–$1,831).
Then the input costs. Bloomberg reports Huawei will raise phone prices moderately against an average $200 per-unit cost increase driven by memory, via Techmeme. Seres chairman Zhang Xinghai said in June that memory and lithium carbonate added 15,000–20,000 yuan (~$2,100–2,800) per car; lithium carbonate's daily average price ran up 132.2% in the first half.
THE NUMBER: Micron's fiscal 2026 net income rose 895%, as reported by IT Home. Somebody is collecting the other side of that squeeze.
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Beijing publishes its shopping list for November
The signal came out on National Day, in Chinese. Yuyuantantian, a new-media outlet run by China Media Group — the central state broadcaster — cited people on the Chinese side of the AI negotiations, translated by Pekingnology. Their account: time in Washington was so tight that both sides only stated positions and concerns, with specifics pushed to the November round.
The named deliverables are deliberately small. The outlet calls them low-hanging fruit — the already-announced AI incident communication channel, and preventing the most dangerous capabilities from being misused, terrorist groups specifically. Pekingnology's own complaint is worth repeating: Beijing keeps sending signals meant for foreigners through a Chinese-language outlet formatted for domestic social media.
The harder point is buried. The same piece flags that apparently identical concepts mean different things in Chinese and American policy discussion — which is the real agenda item. Monday I wrote that a state-security institute asking for shared definitions was the more interesting datapoint. It is now the published negotiating position.
Washington's own National Day note was four sentences of nothing. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's congratulation on the 77th anniversary mentioned neither Xi's visit nor the trade understandings, per SCMP. Meanwhile Sinocism's reading list flags Bloomberg reporting that Chinese travel restrictions on top AI researchers now extend to their families, here.
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Gemini 4 Argon shipped gated, and Chinese outlets all noticed
Google's flagship is not generally available. Gemini 4 Argon goes first to vetted cybersecurity defenders under Google's Fairwind programme, who get a build with the security guardrails removed. Output ceiling jumps from 64k to 1m tokens; $2 per million input, $10 output, cached input 95% cheaper, per InfoQ China. DeepSWE v1.1 at 77.9%, CWE-bench v1 tied first at 68%.
The deployment anecdotes are the interesting part. Argon agents rewrote about 32,000 lines of SIMD code in the libgav1 video decoder into safe Rust that runs 2.7x faster than the prior Rust port, and are working through 800,000 lines of the Fuchsia Zircon kernel. Data-centre memory work has freed over 300 TiB.
Every Chinese outlet imported the same caveat. QbitAI, Zhidx and TMTPost all ran Google's benchmark table next to Bloomberg's line that some employees find Argon weaker in real coding than the scores suggest — and all three noted it sits at 53 on Artificial Analysis, below Claude Opus 5.5. TMTPost's framing is the sharpest: a model that tests well and works unevenly.
Meanwhile the delivery bill is becoming the product. On 10 September Tencent Cloud launched a forward-deployed-engineer certification for partners the same day Moonshot announced a Kimi partner programme with five systems integrators, while ByteDance's Volcano Engine hires its own, per TMTPost. One model serves 100,000 firms; one engineer cannot deploy into 100,000 firms. Who eats that cost is the actual business-model question in Chinese AI right now.
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The holiday nobody showed up for, and the dogs
National Day opening day did 176m yuan (~$25m). Thirteen films, no leader: pre-sales stood at 74m yuan (~$10.4m) on the morning of the 1st, against over 100m at the same point last year and 125m in 2024, per TMTPost. "Detective: Traces," directed by Chen Sicheng, took the day with over 70m yuan (~$9.9m), per Jiemian.
The context is worse than the day. First-half national box office fell 40.6% to 17.35bn yuan (~$2.44bn), admissions down 34.2%. Last year's holiday did 1.835bn yuan (~$258m); forecasts for this one run 1.28–1.6bn. Spring Festival's "Pegasus 3" alone did 2.927bn. Capital concentrated into two annual windows and the other three are now hollow.
And the pet-friendly restaurant experiment collapsed. Haidilao killed all three pilot locations in May after a video from Shenzhen showed a dog eating cake off a plate beside a boiling hotpot; a Changsha branch of Xiaocaiyuan destroyed every piece of tableware in the store in August, with industry estimates of over 300,000 yuan (~$42,000) in losses, per TMTPost.
The policy reversed inside a year. Shenzhen was encouraging pet-friendly commercial districts in June 2025; revised Shanghai and Beijing rules now bar dogs from restaurants and malls outside dedicated zones, and a Sichuan mall was summoned by police in April. Hong Kong went the other way on 9 July — and pointedly excluded hotpot and barbecue venues from its scheme, which is precisely where the mainland videos came from.
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Threads we are pulling
- Cambricon's share-plan fight is over. Following yesterday: the chip designer published a litigation update on 30 September. Liang Jun — the former executive, identified by Leiphone as founder of chip startup Fangqing Technology — has lost six consecutive actions, is in compulsory enforcement for refusing the share buyback, and the company says his enlarged claim does not affect operations. Courts have held the forfeiture valid. He raised the ask anyway.
- Everyone now gates the dangerous build. Following Tuesday's Anthropic–Zhipu argument over whether safety lives in weights or in distribution: Google just shipped a guardrail-free Argon to a vetted list. That is structurally what Zhipu did in August with GLM-5.3, and what QbitAI called product form rather than safety engineering. The frontier has converged on vetted access — which only works if you control the endpoint.
- The renaming survived contact with diplomacy. Following Monday: Beijing's eight-point consensus says "AI Dialogue," the White House fact sheet says "Super Intelligence Dialogue," and Pekingnology's translation simply tells readers not to dwell on it. Two governments that cannot agree on the noun have scheduled November to agree on the risks.
- Engineer poaching went cross-border and litigious. Following yesterday's non-compete piece: Micron has sued YMTC in the US, alleging systematic poaching of key engineers and then use of those engineers' patents against Micron, via Techmeme. Same instrument as the garnished wages in Shenzhen, aimed up the value chain instead of down.
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