Two verdicts reached past the defendants — to the sons, and to the organisation itself
Life for Xu Jiayin, prison for his two sons
Xu Jiayin got life on Thursday. The Shenzhen Intermediate People's Court sentenced the 67-year-old founder of Evergrande — the developer that defaulted in 2021 with more than $300bn of liabilities, and whose chairman was once Asia's richest man — to life imprisonment, stripped his political rights and confiscated all personal property. He had pleaded guilty in April to charges including asset embezzlement and corporate bribery.
The fines are the largest of their kind. Evergrande Group was fined 8.82bn yuan (~$1.24bn) and Evergrande Real Estate 7bn yuan (~$986m) — about $2.2bn combined, among the biggest corporate criminal penalties a Chinese court has levied. The conduct runs 2016 to 2021: inflating assets, concealing liabilities, illegally absorbing public deposits, fundraising fraud.
Then the family. His sons Xu Zhijian and Xu Tenghe were sentenced alongside 54 others, with terms running from one year ten months to eighteen years, per Leiphone's morning digest. Nobody expects this to move the property market — that repricing happened five years ago. What it produces is a template for how a collapse at scale gets settled.
Go deeper on this section: ClaudeChatGPT
Hong Kong convicts a group, not only its leaders
The Alliance itself was found guilty. At West Kowloon on Friday, Lee Cheuk-yan, 69, the former lawmaker and union organiser who chaired the group behind Hong Kong's annual Tiananmen vigils, and Chow Hang-tung, 41, the barrister who ran her own defence, were convicted of inciting subversion. Albert Ho, a veteran pro-democracy legislator and former vice-chair, pleaded guilty earlier.
The mechanism matters. The court named the three as the "directing mind and will" and used the doctrine of attribution to convict the now-disbanded organisation as a legal person. The judges held the agenda unlawful despite no violence or threat of it. Sentencing is 28 August, on a two-tier scale: up to ten years for serious cases, under five for lesser ones.
Chinese-language reporting kept the room. Initium's account of the 206-page judgment notes the court rejected the defendants' testimony that they bore no hostility toward the Party. Lee's wife Elizabeth Tang, formerly general secretary of the International Domestic Workers Federation, called it one-sided and said one can no longer think about things normally. Chow's mother offered a single line outside: she hoped for a healthier climate, where flowers of any colour could bloom.
Go deeper on this section: ClaudeChatGPT
A typhoon toll quadrupled six weeks late
Guangxi finally updated the number. The official death toll from Typhoon Maysak's floods went from 39 to 159, with 10 missing and more than 1.65 million people affected — the first revision in six weeks, delivered at briefings in Nanning and Guigang, and blamed on "historically rare" persistent rainfall.
The next one arrived the same afternoon. A Beibu Gulf depression strengthened into this year's 19th typhoon, forecast to loop over the gulf through Sunday and possibly reach severe tropical storm strength. Hainan, southern Guangxi and coastal Guangdong went to a level-IV flood and typhoon response at 20:00. Revising the old count on the day you declare the new emergency is a choice about when bad numbers cost least.
Go deeper on this section: ClaudeChatGPT
Yangtze Memory wants $4.6bn at the top of the cycle
The filing was accepted Friday. Wuhan-based Yangtze Memory (YMTC), China's leading 3D NAND maker, is seeking 33bn yuan (~$4.65bn) on the STAR Market with CITIC Securities and CSC Financial as sponsors, three months from coaching registration to acceptance — a record for a Chinese chipmaker. The prospectus shows first-quarter revenue of 47.04bn yuan (~$6.6bn) and net profit of 33.38bn yuan (~$4.7bn). A 71% net margin is high enough that I want to read the notes. The market talks about a 300bn yuan (~$42bn) valuation; Counterpoint now ranks it third worldwide in shipped NAND capacity.
Its customers are being crushed by the same shortage. Counterpoint cut 2026 global smartphone shipments by 14.3%, with mainstream LPDDR4 and LPDDR5 roughly tripling in price since late 2025 and tightness lasting into late 2027. Samsung grows 0.8% and retakes first on vertical integration; Apple falls 2.1%; some Chinese vendors drop 15% to 34%; Huawei rises 8%. Memory sellers list, phone sellers cut RAM configurations and kill unprofitable models.
Go deeper on this section: ClaudeChatGPT
Clouds are now losing money selling Zhipu's models
A salesman heard 48% of list and didn't believe it. Leiphone's account of the cloud price war: a rival quoting 4.8 out of 10 on third-party models — Zhipu's GLM, Kimi, DeepSeek — when Zhipu's own reps sell at 8.5. Another vendor is reportedly at 3, below cost. Every hundred yuan of customer spend loses the reseller money.
The targets explain it. Alibaba wants model and application service ARR above 30bn yuan (~$4.2bn) by year-end; Volcano Engine raised its AI revenue goal from 10bn to 15bn yuan (~$2.1bn); Tencent Cloud's internal large-model target is 700m yuan (~$99m) this year and 2.1bn (~$296m) next. Coding customers name GLM and refuse substitutes, so Alibaba Cloud and Tencent Cloud let reps book rivals' models as their own revenue.
We watched this in 2021 — with one inversion. Back then clouds padded contracts with resold third-party product, then purged it when margins collapsed. The difference now is who holds the leverage. A platform can download and distil open weights; it cannot clone the next model — talent density, training infrastructure, post-training craft, a three-month cadence. For the first time the giant is the channel rather than the predator.
Go deeper on this section: ClaudeChatGPT
Labubu cooled and the champions took over
Pop Mart's overseas revenue fell 11%. First-half revenue 17.17bn yuan (~$2.42bn), up 23.8%, but adjusted net profit up only 9.5% to 5.16bn (~$727m), and the Americas down 16.5%. Inventory turnover stretched from 123 days to 201. Labubu's family dropped to 26% of revenue from 38.1%; Star People rose 580.6% to 2.65bn yuan (~$373m); MOLLY fell a third. Founder Wang Ning calls 2026 an adjustment year and expects to miss his own 20% target.
So it is paying out everything. A 2–5bn yuan (~$282–704m) buyback plus roughly 3.2bn of dividends, against 2025 net profit of 12.78bn — 36Kr's read is that Pop Mart is distributing last year's earnings to buy patience for this year's.
Beauty brands found the other answer. Jiemian's survey: the personal-care brand founded by the singer Huang Zitao signed Olympic diving champion Quan Hongchan and moved 1,200 bundles in two hours, with flagship sales up 387% the next day. Athlete endorsements grew 68% year-on-year in early 2025 against 32% for entertainers; table tennis star Sun Yingsha held 27 deals by March. The backdrop is a CCTV exposé on recycled sanitary products and the trust hole it left.
Yesterday's AI idols are the same trade from the other side. Both are answers to the fact that a human celebrity has a private life. Generate the persona, or hire someone whose entire public record is a scoreboard.
Go deeper on this section: ClaudeChatGPT
Pekingnology audits the phrase "barbarian handler"
A Beijing newsletter went after the Anglophone China press. Its essay tracks the label applied to Fang Xinghai, the former securities-regulator vice-chairman placed under investigation on 24 July: The Wire China recalled him as the party-state's best "barbarian handler"; the piece counts Sinocism using variants the same day and as far back as 2015; the Wall Street Journal put Vice-Premier He Lifeng in the same "long line" in 2024.
The argument is about provenance. The term is always sourced to what "diplomatic circles" say — that is, to the Westerners saying it. Neither the classical word nor its English rendering appears in current Party or government vocabulary. The essay leans on Lydia Liu's case that the equivalence was manufactured in the nineteenth century, and on Article 51 of the 1858 Treaty of Tientsin, which barred Chinese officials from applying the word to Britons.
WORTH NOTING: I quote Sinocism here most weeks and will keep doing it. The complaint still lands. Fang studied at Stanford and could explain Chinese financial policy in language foreign investors understood; do the reverse and you get called a China expert.
Go deeper on this section: ClaudeChatGPT
Threads we are pulling
- Kling lost the man who built it. Wang Xintao, the senior researcher who drove Kuaishou's video generation from zero — a Chinese University of Hong Kong multimedia-lab PhD, lead author of Real-ESRGAN and GFPGAN, previously at Tencent's AI and ARC labs — has left with no destination announced. Yesterday I flagged two senior Kling departures this month. This is the one that counts, weeks after Kling was spun out at $18bn.
- Unitree gave back a third. It fell 18.7% Thursday to 277.9bn yuan (~$39bn), some 167bn yuan below Wednesday's intraday peak. At WRC, founder Wang Xingxing set his own bar: mass market when a humanoid handles 80% of spoken instructions in an unfamiliar environment — two to ten years away. It also launched R1, a seven-axis arm from 9,900 yuan (~$1,394).
- DeepSeek can see now. V4-flash-vision-exp went live in the API docs with benchmarks. On 19 August I noted a harness plugin covering fifteen-plus vision providers existed precisely because V4-Pro was blind. Top comment on Hacker News: without sight, a model can only guess whether what it built actually renders.
- Xiaohongshu shipped a base model. dots3-note preview: mixture-of-experts, 280bn total parameters, 16bn active, 512k context, text plus vision and speech, Apache 2.0, with Huawei Ascend adaptation on day one. A 300m-user content platform deciding not to rent its foundation layer.
- JPMorgan says Alibaba Cloud's 12% margin is understated. Freshly installed GPUs and data centres sit at about 60% utilisation; first-year vintage ROIC is ~6% against ~20% mature. Stack the vintages with no unit improvement and blended ROIC drifts to ~16%, with AI infrastructure free cash flow crossing breakeven around year three.
- Ke Jie says you beat the engine by playing badly. The eight-time world go champion described deliberately absurd openings that push the AI off its training distribution until it overrates its position and loses a big group. The same week, Arizona State's Hua Wei argued at IJCAI that agents' cross-language fragility is the old sim-to-real gap, and that domain randomisation let a 3bn-parameter model beat a 32bn one.
Go deeper on this section: ClaudeChatGPT